Which Future Will We Choose?

Climate and energy choices this decade will influence how high sea levels rise for hundreds of years.

Bazylika Mariacka (Basilica of the Assumption of the Blessed Virgin Mary), Gdańsk, Poland

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POL__0__Gdansk__Basilica_of_St_Mary_of_the_Assumption_of_the_Blessed_Virgin_Mary_in_Gdansk__L13__3p0C.jpg
If we keep our current carbon path
(3°C global warming)
(3°C warming)
Data SIO, NOAA, U.S. Navy, NGA, GEBCO Image Landsat / Copernicus
POL__0__Gdansk__Basilica_of_St_Mary_of_the_Assumption_of_the_Blessed_Virgin_Mary_in_Gdansk__L13__1p5C.jpg
If we sharply cut carbon pollution
(1.5°C global warming)
(1.5°C warming)
Image Landsat / Copernicus Data SIO, NOAA, U.S. Navy, NGA, GEBCO
Present-day sea level1.1°C1.5°C2°C3°C4°C

These images show projected future sea levels at Bazylika Mariacka (Basilica of the Assumption of the Blessed Virgin Mary) in Gdańsk, Poland due to human-caused global warming under two different scenarios. Climate and energy choices in the coming few decades could set the destination, but the timing of rise is more difficult to project: these sea levels may take hundreds of years to be fully realized.